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Today, American Compass chief economist Oren Cass sent a letter to President Donald Trump voicing his concern that his administration may pursue a major commitment of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from China into the U.S. as part of ongoing discussions with President Xi Jinping.

The letter, which was also sent to Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, emphasizes that allowing Chinese FDI into the United States would drastically undermine the administration and American Compass’s shared goals of rebalancing trade between the United States and its partners, reindustrializing America, and resetting the global economic order. Cass writes:

“…pursuing Chinese FDI would repeat the mistake that the world made a generation ago when it welcomed China into the World Trade Organization. As with cheap imports then, the decision by North American, European, and East Asian countries to welcome large-scale Chinese investment now, and accept the Chinese industrial dominance that follows, may deliver the appearance of a short-term gain. Economists will undoubtedly cheer. But the result will be the much greater long-term pain of American decline.”

The letter stresses that achieving reciprocity, long the cornerstone of the administration’s trade policy, is impossible with an economy like China’s, which is rooted in authoritarianism and steered by state control.

American Compass previously detailed concerns about the incompatibility between American and Chinese markets in A Hard Break from China.

Recommended Reading
Letter to the Trump Administration on Chinese Foreign Direct Investment

Pursuing Chinese FDI would repeat the mistake that the world made a generation ago when it welcomed China into the World Trade Organization.

US Industry Is Getting Its Way on China

Biden administration officials were keen to stress the limited scope of new rules announced in last week’s executive order, writes Oren Cass in the Financial Times.

Trumpism Gives Grand Old Party an Identity Crisis

American Compass’s Oren Cass talks with the Times of London about the vein of pro-worker conservatism that is emerging out of Trumpism.